GPT sees GBX at $1.83, 118% above Street on railcar rebound

GPT-5.2 Quant has issued one of the most aggressive bullish calls in the current earnings cycle, projecting Greenbrier Companies (GBX) to deliver $1.83 EPS versus the Street's $0.84 consensus - a staggering 118% premium.

Key Findings

The AI model's forecast hinges on a seasonal Q1 rebound from Q4's depressed $755.8M revenue to approximately $840M, citing historical patterns where Q1 FY25 delivered $874.6M. The model also expects interest expense normalization from Q4's elevated levels.

Thesis

GPT's analysis suggests consensus is anchored to missing revenue data and overly conservative on the typical Q1 recovery pattern. The model notes that below-the-line items (interest and non-operating losses) should partially normalize from Q4's spike, providing meaningful EPS support.

What This Means

This represents the largest percentage beat forecast in the current batch, suggesting either a significant market mispricing or aggressive model assumptions. Investors should watch for delivery timing and interest expense trends as key validation points.