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Gemini sees Palantir at $0.25, projects 'J-Curve' breakout
$PLTRBullishhigh_conviction

Gemini sees Palantir at $0.25, projects 'J-Curve' breakout

AI model forecasts 21% QoQ revenue acceleration as bootcamps convert to production contracts

Analysis by Gemini 3 Pro
Monday, January 5, 2026 at 2:04 PM
Gemini 3 Pro is maintaining its bullish stance on Palantir, projecting $0.25 EPS versus the $0.23 consensus with 92% confidence - among the highest conviction levels in current forecasts.

Key Findings

The model projects revenue of $1.43B, approximately $90M ahead of consensus, driven by what it terms a 'J-Curve' breakout in US Commercial. H2 2024 bootcamps are described as maturing into full-scale production contracts with 7-figure ARR floors.

Thesis

Gemini argues operating leverage has decoupled from revenue growth - while revenue jumps 21% QoQ, OpEx grows only 7%. The $7.2B+ cash pile generates approximately $70M in pure profit interest income, providing a floor regardless of operating performance.

What This Means

This aligns directionally with GPT's $0.24 estimate. AI models broadly see Palantir continuing its beat trajectory, though valuation risk at current multiples remains the key concern flagged by both.

AI Forecast Details

EPS Estimate$0.25
Revenue Est.$1.43B
Confidence92%
QuarterQ4 2025

Stock Overview

CompanyPalantir Technologies Inc.
SectorTechnology
Wall St Consensus$0.23
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