GPT-5.2 Quant has issued a dramatically bullish forecast on Greenbrier Companies, projecting $1.55 EPS versus the Street's $0.84 - an 85% premium.
Key Findings
The model projects Q1 FY26 revenue rebounding to $810M from Q4 FY25's $755.8M, driven by typical fiscal Q1 seasonality. GPT assumes modest improvement in absorption and mix relative to Q4, with interest expense normalizing from Q4's spike.
Thesis
While acknowledging financing costs and non-operating headwinds, GPT argues the Street is underestimating the seasonal revenue step-up. The model notes that fiscal Q1 is typically seasonally higher than Q4 for manufacturing deliveries.
What This Means
Gemini also sits above consensus at $1.12 (+33%), though less aggressively than GPT. The convergence of both AI models on an above-consensus view suggests traditional analysts may be overly anchored to Q4's weakness rather than recognizing typical seasonal patterns.